AIA Insights · Decision Intelligence

Decision tools, not just reports.

We don’t sell models — we sell the decision. Members get the interactive decision tools, exhibits and scenario data that turn our proprietary models into a call you can act on, and defend.

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Energy & Gas
Landed-price engine · API-ready

LNG Landed-Price & Shipping

Prices every route from Afungi to delivery — pipeline, truck or small-scale LNG — in $/GJ, and tells you which mode wins and at what volume the pipeline overtakes the truck.

  • Value-chain explainer (animated)
    How a gas molecule reaches a customer by each mode — click any node to see how its $/GJ is built
    Members
  • Cost-to-serve calculator
    Interactive: FSRU vs onshore-terminal landing breakdown + truck-vs-pipe breakeven, in $/GJ
    Members
  • Interactive landed-price map
    Per-customer delivered cost stack, mode-winner, 2026→2060
    Members
  • Routing network map
    Regional pipeline / ssLNG corridors
    Members
  • Tariff report
    Delivered cost across modes
    Members
Scenarios

SACU Liquid Fuels

Petrol, diesel, jet and marine fuel demand to 2050, balanced against domestic refining to surface the import gap by product and scenario.

  • Import balance — high demand
    Demand vs supply vs gap, by product to 2050
    Members
  • Fuel demand — high scenario
    Annual demand by product & country
    Members
  • Fuel demand — low scenario
    Annual demand by product & country
    Members
Bearable-price DCF Sanitisation pending

Mozambique Gas Monetisation

Which gas-monetisation projects can actually pay for their feedstock? Goal-seeks the maximum bearable gas price each project can afford across ports and oil-price scenarios.

  • WACC & returns
    Cost-of-capital build & sensitivity
    Members
  • Constant-gap analysis
    Bearable price vs landed cost
    Members
  • Portfolio cross-subsidy
    Bundled-project economics
    Members
  • Phased cashflow
    Staged build cash bridge
    Members
Supply-demand balance Sanitisation pending

SA Inland Gas Mass Balance

Reconciles forecast gas demand against committed supply (2026–2035) to pinpoint exactly when the inland system goes short — and the landed cost to fill the gap with imported LNG.

  • The residual call
    When & how much the system goes short
    Members
  • Scenario book
    Low / Med / High demand × supply
    Members
  • Supply timeseries
    Committed supply to 2035
    Members
Infrastructure & Logistics
Allocation model

Freight & Corridor (Boegoebaai)

Allocates commodity demand across ports, corridors and modes to 2060 under five investment strategies for the proposed Boegoebaai port + Northern Cape rail.

  • Interactive system map
    Ports, corridors and flows on a live map
    Members
  • The storyline
    12-page interactive narrative & recommendation
    Members
  • Investment waterfall
    Value by lever across the five strategies
    Members
  • Rail capacity comparison
    Corridor capacity vs demand
    Members
DCF / returns Sanitisation pending

Freight Financial Model

The financing-engineering story: the same corridor can be made bankable without raising the tariff — by re-engineering risk. WACC compression 13.85% → 11.70%.

  • Driver tornado
    What moves the required tariff most
    Members
  • WACC compression
    Risk-transfer instruments, stacked
    Members
  • WACC build-up
    Cost-of-capital components
    Members
Demand sizing Sanitisation pending

Freight Market Sizing (Saldanha)

Saldanha Bay throughput to 2060 across mining, energy, agriculture and manufacturing — quantifying how the freight prize peaks and declines as reserves deplete.

  • Demand profiles
    High / medium / low throughput to 2060
    Members
  • Scenario table
    Peak MPTA & timing by scenario
    Members
Manufacturing
Live index · Decision tool

Railway Manufacturing Index

One number for the localisation question: SA rail-manufacturing competitiveness vs Chinese & Indian import penetration — by segment, tier and location, re-scored as procurement evolves.

Open the index
Framework · White paper

The Cluster Question

The framework behind the index: a tier-level competitiveness envelope that shows the wagon case is close to bankable while the locomotive bull case is analytically premature.

Read the report
Rail manufacturing · Capability Sanitisation pending

Rail-Wheelset Growth Strategy

“Any axle, any gauge”: a three-year growth strategy for a domestic rail-wheelset manufacturer — winning against low-cost imports via production economics and a localisation + tariff regulatory play.

Capability — member briefing in preparation.

Rail manufacturing · Capability Sanitisation pending

Rail Build Financial Engine

The financial brain behind a major rail-manufacturing programme — scenario margins, cash timing and local-content %, solving backwards for the price premium to hit a target margin.

Capability — member briefing in preparation.

The backbone

The Assumptions Registry

Every model above draws on one governed source of truth: 551 assumptions sourced, dated, confidence-scored and versioned. It is the layer that lets a board defend the decision — and the hardest thing for anyone to copy.

Explore the registry
551
governed assumptions across 12 domains — macro, energy, rail, ports, mining, financial and more